Who gets better deals, people who book early or last-minute travellers?

No matter how hard I try to be an organised traveller, carefully mapping out plans months or even years ahead of time, I tend to be a last-minute one. Spontaneity can deliver cost savings and pleasant surprises – like a swish hotel suite, reserved at the eleventh hour, at a sweet rate. But other times it can mean hearing “booked out already” and “those flights are now $300 more”. So which approach is really best? Does Pam with a Plan always win out, or does being a Last-Minute Larry have the edge?
No matter how hard I try to be an organised traveller, carefully mapping out plans months or even years ahead of time, I tend to be a last-minute one.
Spontaneity can deliver cost savings and pleasant surprises – like a swish hotel suite, reserved at the 11th hour, at a sweet rate. But other times it can mean hearing “booked out already” and “those flights are now $300 more”.
So which approach is really best? Does Pam with a Plan always win out, or does being a Last-Minute Larry have the edge?

First in, best dressed

Thinking ahead allows you to budget for the trip over time, and can also net you some perks. A recent Viking deal, for instance, offered either a free flight, business-class credit, or $2500 discount. First-comers can reap the benefits of peak-season forays. “Tour itineraries that are timed around headline events can sell out quickly and are essential to book in advance,” says Inspiring Vacations’ chief executive and co-founder Paul Ryan. “Events like Inti Raymi (winter solstice) at Machu Picchu, the Serengeti’s Great Migration or Japan’s cherry blossoms.” His top tip? “Sign up to emails with news about your chosen destination, and receive the ‘first look’ at deals.” In a snap early-bird sale recently, Inspiring Vacations took up to 30 per cent off 2028 tours – a saving of almost $4000 on some trips.

Last-minute perks

For example, King says travelling the week after major holiday weekends can shave 20 per cent off airfares. If you’re in the market for a last-minute overseas trip, most experts agree that regional destinations are the ones to watch. King recommends Japan, Bali and New Zealand as the top spots to target right now. Ryan points to tropical beach destinations in countries such as Sri Lanka and Vietnam. Black, meanwhile, suggests a Mekong River cruise or sailing from Tokyo to Hong Kong. One of Flight Centre’s most popular packages is an eight-night stay at Thailand’s Phuket Graceland Resort & Spa, offering up to 50 per cent off, with flight and accommodation deals from $1400 in the coming months.

Early-bird pitfalls

“Know in advance which operator you want to travel with,” he says. “Tours may look similar but inclusions, stops, accommodation styles and more elements can vary. By having a clear idea of what you’re looking for, you’ll be ready to pounce.” Circumstances can change so always read the fine print. If you need to pivot, you may lose your deposit or face a cancellation fee, though some companies will offer a credit. “Our flexible deposit policy means guests can book early without feeling locked in too soon,” says Black. Viking voyagers who cancel more than 121 days prior can apply their deposit (less $100) to a future cruise.

The downside of delaying

Finding the balance So, is there a “right” time to book a holiday? Well, yes. If your heart is set on an epic round-the-world cruise, or a popular destination during peak season, then the optimal time is now – for 2027, 2028, maybe even 2029. If you don’t care where you go, and don’t have a boss, a dog or an already maxed-out credit card to consider, then the time is also now – for next week, next month, or maybe this afternoon. For most travellers, the sweet spot sits between researching options, understanding booking conditions, and keeping your eyes peeled for deals. And if that all sounds too hard, domestic getaways cut down on the paperwork and can offer stellar last-minute value. If that’s you right now, King suggests Tasmania, Brisbane and Canberra as affordable options this season.
Finding the balance

5 tips for cheap last-minute air fares
1. Book on Thursday, fly on Friday
2. Be airport agnostic

3. Track new flight paths New routes often launch at enticing sale prices. Fijian Airways has spruiked soon-to-launch Gold Coast to Fiji flights from $215; Jetstar’s Melbourne to Sri Lanka flights (from August) started from $315;and Virgin Australia debuted its upcoming Canberra to Bali flights with $399 fares. 4. Track flight price drops When searching flights on airline and booking sites, you’ll often get the option to receive an email alert when the price drops. Skyscanner’s app offers push notifications for drops of 20 per cent or more. 5. Consider new destinations Try searching flights to “Anywhere” on Google Flights or “Everywhere” on Skyscanner. AI bots like ChatGPT or Escape’s own Ask Skye can suggest cheap destinations or flight windows within your date range, plus recommended itineraries.